美國高收益債市創新高 4大QA看後市

隨著疫苗施打與疫情高峰過去,美國逐步走出新冠肺炎衝擊,隨著升息聲浪放大,對於高收益債券基金,升息將是毒藥還是萬靈丹?瀚亞投資提出4大QA,解答高收益債市前線觀察。

美國聯準會(FED)近期釋出縮減購債的可能性,加上4月美國通膨率高於預期,升息聲浪開始湧現。瀚亞投資表示,歷史經驗顯示,升息期間有利高收益債表現,尤其市場規模大、殖利率較高的美元高收益債券可望成為資金追捧對象;而投資首選推薦:瀚亞投資-美國高收益債券基金(本基金主要係投資於非投資等級之高風險債券且配息來源可能為本金)

Q1. 升息是高收益債券生機?還是危機?

回顧聯準會2013年宣布縮表計畫,高收益債券價格呈現先跌後漲;在2015~2019年升息循環當中,高收益債券價格上漲37%,顯示美國公債殖利率彈升,反映出經濟基本面良好,企業獲利跟償債情況佳,自然激勵高收益債券市場表現;此外,經濟復甦,違約率自然也將逐步走弱。

從利差角度來看,利差已經自2020年高點(1,087點)大幅收斂,迄今約328點,預期利差將維持低檔;殖利率方面,目前美元高收益債相對具有吸引力,殖利率達4.7%,高於環球高收益債殖利率為4.6%、新興美元債殖利率4.4%,而歐洲高收益債券殖利率僅有2.9%。

Q2. 布局高收益債市,如何掌握收益機會?

整體來看,高收益債券市場表現優於投資等級債,預期在當前低利率環境、企業基本面持續改善下,可望支撐高收益債券價格表現,並持續吸引國際資金流入。

另外,近幾年許多墮落天使的加入,也提升了高收益債券的整體信評,更提供不同投資機會。

瀚亞投資指出,看好美元高收益債的短存續期間優勢,假如未來美國啟動升息,帶動美國公債殖利率持續走升,高收益債基金表現可望持續優於其他固定收益商品。

Q3. 績效見真章,投資團隊如何超前部署?

今年以來美國高收益債利差持續收斂,年初迄今收斂近60個基本點,回到2018年第四季以來低點。

以債券表現來看,信評較低的表現較佳,如CCC以下、B、BB級今年來都上漲。本基金近一年來加碼較低信評債種,順利掌握市場反彈行情,另降低投資級債(BBB級)部位,獲利了結。

Q4. 美國高收益債券基金為何選擇瀚亞?

今年5月高收益債指數走勢創歷史新高,帶動相關基金表現。以瀚亞投資-美國高收益債券基金-美元(本基金主要係投資於非投資等級之高風險債券且配息來源可能為本金)為例,近期基金淨值今年5月創成立以來新高,5/25達19.10。

基金投資組合鎖定市值最大、流動性最高的美國高收益債市,聚焦美國為主、美元計價的高收益債券標的,且信評為BB+級或以下債券;產業配置則加碼能源、媒體公司,投資組合債種靈活調整,能快速因應市場變動。

基金亦具備包括美元、澳幣避險、南非幣避險及紐幣避險不同貨幣級別,另有月配息、穩定月配息等多元選擇,適合偏好配息債券基金,或推薦給長期投資人作為資產配置的常態性標的。

基金績效表

US-HY-PERFORMANCE
US-HY-NAV

 

資料來源:瀚亞投資,Lipper,基金績效統計至2021/4/30,原幣計價。淨值走勢係自基金成立以來期間2005/8/28~2021/5/28。

 
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