【入息】2021年12月基金評論

市場現況:

儘管12月股市投資者情緒因擔心各國進一步封鎖限制,與Omicron病毒可能會拖累全球經濟復甦而承壓,但隨著研究指出新病毒株可能不像過往病毒一樣致命時,市場情緒恢復樂觀。投資者似乎認為11月股市的疲軟是一個良好進場機會,許多股市在2021年結束時強勁上漲。

歐洲股市領漲,法國、義大利和瑞士市場也上漲。儘管納斯達克指數表現落後,但美國標準普爾500指數也上漲。新興市場在一定程度上從11月的疲軟中恢復,而香港則以再度下跌結束了表現不佳的一年。儘管日本從11月的大幅下跌中恢復,但日元疲軟也影響了非國內投資者的收益表現。

在類股方面,核心消費和公用事業等被視為防禦性產業的公司需求旺盛,歐洲金融類股也表現強勁,但消費服務和資訊科技類股表現不佳。

全球通膨持續上升並觸及多年高位,促使幾家央行態度變得更加鷹派。英國央行成為第一個上調利率的主要央行,而聯準會則暗示美國可能在2022年上調利率。儘管歐洲央行表示近期不太可能上調利率,但未來它將比先前預計的更快退出其資產購買計畫。

央行行動令債券市場承壓,成熟市場主權債券殖利率上升。英國公債價格跌幅最大,其次是歐洲政府債券和美國公債。公司債券整體表現持平,但較高的風險偏好使高收益公司債和新興市場債券狀況表現有所改善。

在外匯市場上,歐元兌英鎊貶值,但兌美元和日元升值。

該基金在12月產生了正報酬,其中大部分收益來自股票配置。在美國的股票部位,特別是一般持股和資訊科技類股貢獻最大;歐洲股市,尤其是英國和金融類股,也做出積極貢獻。雖然我們的日本股票部位按當地貨幣計算為上漲,但大部分漲幅被日元的疲軟所抵銷。

我們的公司債券本月表現基本持平,新興市場政府債券也是如此,墨西哥和南非債券的正報酬被巴西、智利和哥倫比亞債券的虧損所抵消。

唯一的主要績效拖累者為主要政府債券,由於聯準會暗示將在2022年進行一系列升息,且美元表現疲軟,我們大量持有的長天期美國公債受到負面影響。葡萄牙債券也小幅下跌。

部位調整:

我們沒有對基金做出重大改變,我們的投資組合基本保持不變。有時維持現有配置不變也是一個積極的決定,而2021年即是適用此情況的一年。

透過配置略微轉向股票部位,我們持續為全球經濟復甦做好準備,同時也認知到此情況的風險。因此,我們準備透過債券部位進行策略性地調整,以增加多元化,並持續積極尋找我們認為具有吸引力的投資機會,例如新興市場債券。我們也持有合理數量的現金部位,以準備好在波動中買入我們認為值得投資的機會。

 
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