回首投資十年挑戰


最近臉書(Facebook)流行什麼梗?「10 Years Challenge/十年挑戰」熱潮,從國外紅到台灣,不管是名人或身邊親友,紛紛用照片來對比十年前後的不同,也讓最近的臉書、IG就像一場人生回顧展。

對照全球景氣與金融市場,【2009年】PK【2019年】,這十年期間正好是金融海嘯後的景氣循環週期,也是難得一見的十年大多頭行情,更見證投資市場的興與衰。

近期媒體報導,股神巴菲特早在2007年就押寶被動投資的指數基金,開啟與對沖基金的十年挑戰。結果巴菲特以複利效果與長期投資,賭贏了對沖基金的主動式操作。

從這幾年的金融工具與新興資產的消長,也不難看出投資人時時刻刻都在尋找更佳的收益,同時控制風險與波動,近兩年包括債券ETF、目標到期債等新型標的也成為台灣投資市場的當紅炸子雞。

10 Years Challenge,不管您的投資結果是贏?是輸?不妨正視自己的投資結果、操作決策與標的,尤其是進入2019年多頭行情末班車,時時刻刻都是挑戰,到最後才是贏家!

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Source:
1Source: International Monetary Fund (IMF), GDP based on purchasing power parity (PPP), share of world, 2018. Asia (excluding Australia and New Zealand).
2Source: The Brookings Institution, Wolfensohn Center for Development, “The Unprecedented Expansion Of The Global Middle Class: An Update”, Homi Kharas, February 2017. Others include Central and South America, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Middle East and North Africa. F stands for forecast.
3Source: Sustainable Cities Mobility Index 2017 Bold Moves, Arcadis. Hong Kong tops the Sustainable Cities Mobility Index, while Singapore ranks eighth.
4Source: Euromonitor International, E stands for estimates, data retrieved on 30 August 2018.
5Source: Bloomberg, from 30 June 2013 to 30 June 2018, citing Singapore Department of Statistics (Singapore Retail Sales Total Ex Motor Vehicles Current Prices YoY, Non-Seasonally-Adjusted) and Census and Statistics Department Hong Kong (Hong Kong Retail Sales Value YoY).
6Source: 2018 Asia Pacific Real Estate Market Outlook | Singapore, by CBRE Singapore Research.
7Source: Outbound Chinese Tourism and Consumption Trends: 2017, an online survey with 2,009 residents from Chinese mainland and 613 non-Chinese residents, conducted by Nielsen in December 2017.
8Source: the MasterCard Global Destination Cities Index
9Source: How Global is the Business of Retail? Published by CBRE Research in December 2017.
10Source: Bloomberg, data as at 30 August 2018. *12-month forward dividend yield. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of the future performance. Please note that there are limitations to the use of such indices as proxies for the past performance in the respective asset classes/sector. The historical performance or forecast presented is not indicative of and should not be construed as being indicative of or otherwise used as a proxy for the future or likely performance.
11Source: Bloomberg, Eastspring Investments, data as at 31 August 2018. AUS stands for Australia, SG Singapore, JP Japan, HK Hong Kong.
12Source: Bloomberg, data from 31 August 2003 to 31 August 2018, in US dollars, including Japan and Australia.

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